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Outlook Gallups October Surprise By Richard Morin Thesis The author is saying that the gallup polls are not as accurate as people would like them to be and as they should be oThe polls changing from Sept 30 through Oct9 raised many eyebrows mainly because of the complete switch from Gore being ahead to Bush behind then later Bush was ahead and Gore was trailing oOctober 2nd when Gallup reported the race a tie 35 of all likely voters said they were Democrats 34 as Republicans and the rest independents then the article goes on to two days later where Gore has an 11 point lead and then two days after that Bush has an 8 point lead so something is obviously wrong with the way the Gallup poll has been picking its random likely voters oFrank Newport editor-in-chief of the Gallup Poll acknowledges that proportions of Democrats and Republicans in Gallups likely voter poll may change because more members of one party may become interested in the presidential race at any given moment or the other party may become annoyed or distracted and less likely to vote The article is firstly written by the director of polling for The Washington Post The author does bring a good point that the Gallup Polls cannot be trusted but the editor-in-chief also makes a valid point in that people become disinterested when their candidate does something wrong and then is less likely to vote I dont personally think there should be a polling of any kind before an election because it seems to have an effect on undecided voters who will probably lean toward the winning candidate because the majority is and not because of the candidates view points But if the Gallup Polls were given to the candidates then they would know that they have to try harder and in what areas So basically the Gallup Polls are not to be relied upon
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